Based on the catastrophic first 50 days of Keir Starmer's election to Prime Minister of the UK, I am going to swing the bat and have a wild guess at what the election results will be in 2029. For me, they can't come soon enough and as I have said in several previous posts it will get a lot worse before it gets better (assuming the UK can get thew Labour party out of office and this may not be possible).
In my personal opinion there is now just 5 years left for the UK to remain anywhere near recognizeable to anyone born before 1985. If we fail to elect a conservative government at the next election, with the way the younger demographic is now voting overwhelmingly for left wing parties then it maybe the case that we never see a traditional centre right party ever elected in the UK again. At least not for the for seeable future.
This is really no surprise. I am not even sure that left and right wing even mean that much anymore to this demographic unless it is used for insulting the other side but a University education seems to ensure a left leaning vote and from what I have seen the children of the UK are even more obsessed with social justice, islamophobia and climate change than the generation before them.
Anyway, what this means for the 2029 UK election. I am going to say that there will be approx. 7 million Muslims in the United Kingdom in 2029 and with the rise of sectarian politics at the last election where the Muslim Vote basically got MPS elected thewy are going to win a significant amount of seats in the next election. I think these will mostly come from labour. It is possible that an Islamic Party is formed within this time but I suspect that it may well be strategically prudent for the Islamists to hide within established parties for the moment or run as independents until they have another increase in population.
Based on the sentiment and the success that Reform UK had at the last election they will see a massive increase in seats. Of course, there are so many variable it is crazy to expect this to be a realistic estimate but nevertheless I think we will see much more extreme voting. I think the Conservative party will be pretty much irrelevant in the 2029 elections, I know I would never vote for them again.
So here is my prediction for the UK 2029 election.
Labour 275 seats
Reform 147 seats
Conservatives 82 seats
Islamic Vote candidates from various parties 52
Liberal Democrats 48 seats
Others 23
Green 12 seats
SNP 6 seats
Sinn Fein 5 seats
Total 650 seats and you need 50% to form a government, so that's 325 seats.
I think a hung parliament and I think Labour and the lib dems will form a government and invite in some independents to sure up the majority.
Of course, if this year has been anything to go by it could be very, very different in the UK by 2029.
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